[archlight]

I am in this situation where I really hope I could apply some risk framework to help me make decision.

I recently signed an offer with a company, US bank with large python community. Now I am counter offered with more pay and promotion and internal transfer to a new team. Conventional wisdom is never accept counter offer. but this one I am giving second thought as it is not for original role but transferred to new team. I will be only one in my location and I will be building MVP for business users. it will be exposed to a lot of tech stack but it won't be scale as large as new company.

However to join a new company, there is always uncertainties like team and project. I had bad experience before. It is difficult to find it out through interview only. It seems to confirm this as I find that hiring process is a bit not taken seriously. It is greenfield project but no coding tests. There is no front end expertise in the team so I was only got asked things like "you worked with angularjs right?". Hiring manager is recruiting three altogether which he thinks will be good team.

risk is about managing uncertainties. I hope decision like this can be priced so it is easier to decide.