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by nanis 2936 days ago
> Is there some reason the study doesn't include the post-December 2017 bear market?

Now, that would be a decent out of sample test, wouldn't it?

Also, keep in mind that at hourly resolution, with a highly autocorrelated dataset, 60% is not much better than coin toss.

I would like to see if any of the methods they used would outperform just using what happened in the previous period as one's prediction.