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by yebyen 2940 days ago
You're obviously no slouch, and I respect your opinion, but I think Amazon is all about the long tail and without speculating too much about what they are thinking, I'll say they might disagree. They are obviously smart to go for the big money dollars first, but everything I know about "Long Tail" says you're wrong.

I absolutely agree with everything you said, if you only added "at this time" to the end of that last sentence.
1 comments
user5994461 2940 days ago
What long tail do you mean? I would say the small tech companies with tens of developers and tens of servers are the long tail for AWS.

The service is too expensive and too complicated to be used by very small companies or individual users. There are also more appropriate competitors in that space.

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yebyen 2940 days ago
You told me you thought I'm not in the minority, and others have come forward to agree. I think we are the long tail.

It is exactly as you say, companies that don't want to spend more than they absolutely need to on infrastructure. Shaving pennies to save money. We are each too small to make any significant money on us, taken individually. That's what makes us the long tail.

Do you think in 6 months, you will be able to get a non-HA Kubernetes master on Amazon's free tier? Almost surely within 12 months. At that time, they will have addressed the long tail. Today's announcement is not for us. It's for large enterprise customers that settled on Kubernetes (and 57% of Kubernetes is already on AWS, so many of them are likely not new customers.) We're both right, from opposite perspectives.

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user5994461 2940 days ago
Sorry, there might be a misunderstanding. I meant that you were not in the minority, in terms of user count. There are people trying out AWS/Google, riding on the free tier, or just running a small site for the experience. People spending less than a hundred dollars a month could very well be the majority of the user count.

It doesn't mean that they bring any significant revenues or that the distribution follows a long tail. I would actually bet that amateur users are not forming a long tail.

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