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by xupybd
2952 days ago
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Luck plays a huge role. But it’s something you can do nothing about. However you can work on your character. Competing against everyone else will oftern result in you finding someone else that’s done better. This is of no use. Compete against your self. Be better than you were. Then it doesn’t matter how lucky or privileged the next guy is. |
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Another way to say it might be that if you want to do a regression of some success metric on a bunch of factors, such as positive attitude or charisma or whether your first name is “John” or what country you were born in, the R-squared of such a model is likely crap — most of the outcome is random even after controlling for volitional factors we think should matter (another way to say this: it’s mostly luck), and factors with large, significant effect sizes might have no volitional aspect (e.g. was born in America).
This is not normative. It says nothing about what you should do. Rather it’s descriptive. What factors correlate with success, and does their correlation result in a meaningful explanation of the variation of outcomes we see?