[danielbigham]

This article comes off too strong, but it's welcomed conversation.

My take: Kurzweil is missing the mark to suggest unabated growth in computing or anything like a true "singularity" where a curve goes to infinity. However, I think his overall insight into exponential effects and how unintuitive they are is brilliant and basically true. All of us who have been around for a few decades can clearly see the world changing dramatically in some dimensions, and the general expectation is that it will continue to do so. Some of the developments this century will probably be quite mind bending.

Kurzweil is definitely a strong optimist, and my feeling is he's a bit too optimistic, but I suspect that he may be right in the rough sense that the technologies discovered this century will help more than they hurt.

The commentary on the religiosity of technology is an interesting one, deserving more thought.