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by nobrains
2961 days ago
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There are two problems with this control (QE) that the citizens are concerned about: 1. It reduces their cash savings by the ratio of the amount of new money injected to the total supply 2. It is unfair, as the first receipients of this new money get free money. (Inflation increases as that money flows through to everyone, however, the first receipients of this money don't get to face the inflation). The second issue is solvable. The money should be distributed equally to all citizens, via some tax break or something. |
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Inflation doesn't affect all firms equally. Excess money tends to pool at bottlenecks within the economy: industries where a single firm has monopoly power over its suppliers or customers. It ends up receiving all the new cash that is circulating within the economy, but has little incentive to pay out that cash to suppliers because they have few other buyers but plenty of competitors should they try to raise prices proportionally. As a result, prices rise upstream of the monopoly, but remain constant downstream, with the added money going into asset purchases that the monopoly firm believes will give it a bigger moat. The Fed, meanwhile, tends to look at prices downstream (in the broader economy), sees that they are remaining stubbornly low, and keeps adding money into the economy, which all collects as cash on the balance sheets of monopoly firms or asset prices for things they want to buy.
Warren Buffett has remarked on this effect in a few of his annual reports, and his entire investment thesis is based upon it. It's also why the FANG stocks have been on a tear (each of them owns a local monopoly in their consumer-based industry), and why software engineering salaries for Big Tech have been skyrocketing (on the supply-side, each of these companies isn't quite a monopsony, as engineers can choose to work for another one), and why land in the Bay Area is unaffordable (all these engineers need to live somewhere, and the supply of land is fixed). It also manifests as a plummeting velocity of money and recurrent asset bubbles, which we've also seen.
Distributing money directly to taxpayers would help - at the very least, it'd let the Fed more accurately measure the impact of new money on prices, as consumer price levels would jump immediately rather than waiting for the money to cycle back as salaries, which it never does unless they're in an industry where they have bargaining power over their employers. But ultimately, fixing it requires doing something about monopoly concentration within the economy and ensuring there's healthy price competition at all levels of the value chain.