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by larl
2982 days ago
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Back of the envelope to double check: Some estimates put the internet traffic at 2^70 bits per year and growing. For any short sequence of N bits, there are approximately that 2^70 such sequences transmitted per year. Let's assume that, since they are encrypted, they are uniformly distributed. So what is the sequence length for which our p(seen all) = 50%? Seems like 71-bits is about right. There traffic growth curve is probably ~2x per year, so each year we add 1 more bit each year. The sum of all internet traffic for all time, at present, is therefore about 1 more bit. So ~73 bits. Math checks out. |
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