[lainga]

That is why I qualified it as a Fermi estimate. I was guessing randomly.

[fapjacks]

Fermi estimate or guessing randomly: Pick one. They are mutually exclusive.

[lainga]

Good point. I was guessing randomly with justification. If I had guessed that 0.001% or 1000% of all sunk sailors died it wouldn't be a Fermi estimate.