[danso]

Worth posting Bloomberg's Tesla Model 3 Tracker, which contains a model attempting to independently estimate production, as well as background info about Tesla's past projections: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-tesla-tracker/

[pavs]

I think most people shouldn't take this tracker seriously as it was wildly off most of the time and was often manually adjusted.

[danso]

The tracker on Apr. 2 (Google Cache) has an estimate of 12,245 units, which is based off of a confirmed production total of 2,686 at the end of Q4.

http://archive.is/WXoXw

Today's announcement says 9,766 M3s were produced in Q1: 9766 + 2686, i.e. 12452.

They don't seem that far off?

[pavs]

It was adjusted manually in the beginning of the month. In March it was all over the place. I think unofficial tracker like this, even with all the disclaimers, actually makes this worse.