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by daanlo 2997 days ago
From a German perspective, I can say that costs of building a house are rising mainly due to new legislation around CO2 reduction and fire safety. In a time when producing most goods is getting cheaper through technology, cost of house conatruction is rising. There also doesn't seem to be much innivation in the building industry.
2 comments

Adding a German perspective: this might be one factor among many. Other factors include

- land owners who wait to sell at even higher prices

- drastically reduced social housing construction (Sozialer Wohnbau)

- heavy influx of foreign capital (at least in major cities) reducing existing capacities

- missing holistic development concepts/strategies (one big exception is probably the Bahnstadt in Heidelberg)

- on average, low building height in city centers

The whole topic just hasn’t been a top priority lately and we’re moving way too slow to change that

What i've lately dreamed about doing is a city-building Kickstarter. You take a piece of undeveloped land in Germany, buy it for cheap and then let people & companies pledge money to build housing at building cost with the requirement that it has to be used by the owner himself, until you get enough for a 500k-1M people city. I'd love to live in a city where every inhabitant is an owner, something drastically different than the rest of Germany.

It's just a dream with a lot of big holes, i'd love to hear how to make this viable.

This something only a government could really do.

Housing is nowhere near a free market. Public decisions control what can be built/rebuilt & where, essentially dictating "supply". It's also public infrastructure, services and wider economic policies that determine the value of that supply to consumers.

A quasi-laissez faire housing market can work. The US has many of them, in the geographically unrestricted cities like phoenix or.. lots of cities. The city/country builds roads. Land gets parceled into 1,000 - 5,000 sqm blocks and cheap houses are built on them, starting at $100k + taxes and land which are cheap relative to europe.

This can produce almost unlimited (given unlimited space) housing. Infrastructure is very basic: roads, sewage, etc. They usually don't have sidewalks, nevermind trams. They also produce low-density sprawl. As things get tighter, more and more burden is on cities to plan, provide infrastructure. Rights compete.

In theory, land efficiency and shorter transit distances should balance this out. In practice, land prices (enriched by infrastructure & proximity) generally outpace these efficiencies so house prices are higher anyway. Governments also limit supply in dense areas, because they can't keep up with the infrastructure requirements.

Truly revolutionary projects out of scope for private investors. First, horizons are too long. They can't wait 15 years for the value to emerge. Second, the governments' parts in the game (infrastructure & planning) is more important than private money's. Third, the money is too big, even for today's giant piles of cash. A small city (100k people) would cost 10bn to build, at least.

In that case, wouldn't the reasonable response to desire for higher density be, you know, demolishing single units to build high density housing?

Often, that isn't possible due to zoning in these 'unrestricted' cities. Zoning tends to be really restrictive, up to the point of placing tight limits on the density of dwellings.

Zoning or not, leveling housing to make room for high density is expensive, slow and difficulty-prone.

It's slow because you need to wait for many individuals in a market to act. They'll usually need to act in cooperation, piecing together smaller parcels. It's expensive because you are destroying housing to make housing.

Also, management of public infrastructure (even schools) is not flexible, adapting to local needs in realtime. A planner/zoner may look at an area, see that the infrastructure is insufficient and shut down population increases because they have no way to pay for more infrastructure.

No zoning in Houston..
Why keep building where you get flooded all the time? https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/08/why-c...
You can just move to Oslo. Norway doesn't have a functioning rental market. It's because of big tax advantages for homeowners and social stigma for renters. The grass is always greener on the other side. I prefer German cities.
We have small projects, such as Collegium Academicum in Heidelberg. If you want to start one yourself, the Mietshäuser Syndikat will help you with organisation and financing.

https://collegiumacademicum.de/ (German)

https://www.syndikat.org/en/

Make sure it has safe, dutch or danish-level bike infrastructure and I'll join you.
The social concepts in Heidelberg's Bahnstadt put the prices there just a tad below ridiculous, if you qualify. (If not, they are indeed ridiculous.)
Sounds just like London. I would hazard a guess these symptoms are common.
Building costs are negligible next to land costs.