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by sillysaurus3 3029 days ago
Imagine a guidance from Apple saying they would make $2 per share with 47% probability. Investors will freak out.

So? People freak out all the time about things that are true. It doesn't change that it's true.

1 comments

Strictly speaking, one may end up with a separate set projections for e.g. dividends. These may in a standardized way present ranges for each KPI with confidence intervals associated.

I'd rather invest if that type of data were included. :)

As this is a somewhat large topic, I'll elaborate further throughout the series of blog posts.