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by praha14 3033 days ago
One thing I've never understood- in a fair society in which people are not artificially limited, wouldn't we expect social mobility to decrease over time as successive generations "sort" themselves into the spots allowed by their genetics?

Let's say we've got a feudal society with dumb nobility that rules over a smart peasantry by force. If that society becomes free, we'll expect smart peasants to move up and dumb noblemen to move down across the first few generations... but once they've moved, they've moved. Ergo, declining social mobility.
2 comments
gowld 3033 days ago
> "sort" themselves into the spots allowed by their genetics

There's an extreme amount of assumption baked into that.

1. Genetics is the only factor that determines merit for wealth?

2. Genetics merits extreme differences in income/wealth?

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praha14 3033 days ago
1. No of course not, but if it's a factor at all we'd expect to see the pattern I described.

2. We're talking about social mobility, not the level of inequality.

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marnett 3033 days ago
I tried multiple times to try to refute all of the assumptions made in this post, but I gave up.

1) One does not have to be intelligent to be wealthy.

2) Those born wealthy do not have to be intelligent to remain wealthy - they just need not be a consumeristic imbecile.

3) Genetics has such a small impact, if any, on social mobility - quite the opposite. If I am born a Kennedy I am more likely to never fall below my birthright social class because of my family lineage.

4) You contradict yourself. You say the nobility rules by force, then immediately follow that with "If that society becomes free" - how exactly would that society magically free?

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praha14 3033 days ago
1. Of course not, I referenced unintelligent wealthy people ("dumb nobility") in my post.

2. 70% of rich families lose their wealth by the second generation, 90% by the third. [A]

3. IQ is a greater predictor of income than parental SES. Someone in the 95th percentile for IQ has a higher EV for earnings than someone born into the 95th percentile for wealth.

4. A number of revolutions have happened. If you don't believe that modern France or Japan are freer than their feudal predecessors then I agree that we are probably not on the same page.

A. http://time.com/money/3925308/rich-families-lose-wealth/

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jhundal 3033 days ago
I would not use the Time article as a reliable source, it cites the 70/90% figures a study by the "Williams Group wealth consultancy", which of course is trying to sell its services to wealthy clients.

I've seen the statistic quoted in so many places, yet have never found a link to the actually study. No info on sample size; we don't even have a definition of 'wealth' used in the study.

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marnett 3033 days ago
The sample size is 2000 families over 20 years. Better submarine piece here [1].

[1] https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424127887324662404578334...

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