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by olympus 3033 days ago
Not to mention that if you rely on estimating pregnancy rates by taking birth rates and then shifting backwards nine months, you have lost three quarters of time, and thus there is no way to use this data to predict a recession even if pregnancy rates do precede a recession by three quarters. So it's fun to look at, but ultimately useless for forecasting if you can't get real time pregnancy rates instead of waiting nine months.