[vram22]

People saying "it will be different this time" turned out to be false about bubbles.

Saying not (of) "it will be different this time", i.e. "it will be the same this time", i.e. your claim, can also turn out to be false.

>bowers

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bowyer

>Pardon the harshness here, I feel like the only people this is truly a surprise to is either folks that ignore the past, or are incapable of understanding the past.

No need to ask for pardon. But what happened in the past is no guarantee of what will happen in the future. See Black Swan etc.

[SimbaOnSteroids]

We're dealing with a different kind of mechanization this time, previous mechanizations were largely manual labors. We've been retreating further and further into the one thing we haven't been able to automate away, our creative intelligence and problem solving, what happens when we figure out how to write something that can do that?

It's like being a horse at the turn of the last century saying well we've always had horse jobs throughout various advancements in horse-labor tech, this internal combustion engine should be no big deal we'll find horse jobs.

We all know how that turned out for horses, now we're pushing closer and closer to the precipice of being the horses at the turn of the last century. Sure it'll be impossible to tell whats going to be the straw that breaks the camels back but we should be ready for each straw to break the camels back, and not assume it won't.

[rcfox]

It's not really the same as for horses. Horses in society lost control of their own reproductive rights. Horses existed to fill jobs because people bred them to meet a demand. As demand for horses declined, fewer horses were bred.

We have the opposite situation with humans. Individual humans retain their reproductive rights. Most of them don't decide to reduce the supply to meet a reduced demand. For a time, China did impose a restriction on reproduction, but that just resulted in many (mostly female) babies being killed or abandoned.

[SimbaOnSteroids]

I'm not sure having reproductive rights has any bearing on weather or not we can find jobs people are exclusively more qualified to do.

[rcfox]

The point is that the supply of humans doesn't track with the demand for them like it does for horses.

We will find something to do with humans because we'll be forced to. Humans are exclusively more qualified for existence.