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by 52-6F-62 3035 days ago
Anecdotal:

Here in Toronto, it's been 16˚C this past week. In February. We've had about 2 or 3 real snowfalls that stuck around for a few days before melting.

As somebody who loves ice skating outside, it's really frustrating. And I love the snow.

Every year it seems like the winter gets a little milder...

6 comments

Anecdotal: New Hampshire has experienced both record breaking high temperatures (> 70˚F) and record breaking low temperatures (< -10˚F) this winter. Either one might be just, eh, we're having a warm or cold winter. Both within two months is weird.

It snowed the day after it was 75˚F.

That's how it's happened here. Another commenter mentioned that while we've had such highs, we've also experienced record lows. What they didn't associate was how they have come back-to-back.

It's rather usual for a northerly place like Calgary to go from -20˚ to +20˚ Celsius (or the reverse) over the course of a day due to Chinook winds from the mountains. They're really quite a sight if there are any clouds—you can watch the wall of whatever front is blowing in.

In Ontario, it's rather unusual for the same kind of phenomenon, and we've experienced it multiple times this winter.

> it's been 16˚C this past week

One single day hit 16 at the max. Another hit ~14. That's a very generous way of looking at our weather this winter. This has been a much snowier winter than last year as well (and some others of recent memory).

Yes it's been unusual to have the final 2 weeks of February average above 0 during the day.

Both December and January were very cold with a monthly mean temp of -5˚C (ref: http://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/daily_data_e.html?...). By mid-January there were a ton of stories in the media about how cold our winter had been and various records had been set. Everyone in the city was complaining about this winter for most of it (until recently).

Example: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/toronto/fourteen-cold-h...

It seems the cold moved to central Europe, giving us -15 degrees celsius at night in the upcoming week.
It seems that this is directly caused by the arctic temperature rise: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudden_stratospheric_warming

Relevant quote: Following a sudden stratospheric warming, the high altitude winds reverse to flow eastward instead of their usual westward. The eastward winds progress down through the atmosphere and weaken the jet stream, often giving easterly winds near the surface and resulting in dramatic reductions in temperature in Europe.

see also (in german): http://www.meteoschweiz.admin.ch/home/aktuell/meteoschweiz-b...

Some of it's here on the west coast of the US too. It hit -18C here in central Oregon the other day, and has been snowing a bunch.
And some of us in Eastern Europe are expecting -24 °C .
Anecdotal: 3 days ago it hit 78˚F/25.6˚C here in NYC, the hottest ever recorded for Feb 21 and ever recorded for all of Feb. The previous record for Feb 21 was 68˚F/20˚C in 1930. The previous hottest day in all of February was 75˚F/23.9˚C in 1985. The average high temp for NYC in Feb is usually 44˚F/6.7˚C. This year it's 49˚F/9.4˚C.
FWIW, a 30 year gap between record highs is not supportive of global warming. Global warming should be making record weather events more common, which would imply records being broken in rapid succession.
> Global warming should be making record weather events more common

Not necessarily. If there was no long term warming trend, records would become less common over time, since they would be weather-related random values and there are more previous year data points to compare against. A warming trend would act counter to that effect, but not necessarily overcome it.

Yeah, but we haven’t been measuring temperatures for that long.
>Every year it seems like the winter gets a little milder...

yes it does.

Anecdotal: its unusually cold in Seattle this winter. So goes both ways.