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by lootsauce
3039 days ago
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I used to be very excited about Universal Basic Income. Then I thought about what might actually happen. UBI will cause dramatic price inflation in response to everyone knowing that everyone is getting x amount of money. This will quickly neutralize the intended effect of UBI. It might sound great to get 10,20,40k automatically for everyone but this will have an immediate inflationary effect especially on rents and housing. Price controls would need to be enacted. This situation is untenable, either inflation or the effects of a race to prevent inflation will counter-act the intended effects of UBI. UBI is an illusion that we need to move past. You have to actually identify the why and how of the massive inequality we see in society to do something about it. UBI does not answer why or how inequality happens and is no solution to it. |
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Take the US, and instead of giving everyone in the country 10,000 USD/year in UBI, take 10,000 USD away: add a new 10,000 USD/year flat tax.
Do you still think all prices will re-stabilize, and everyone will end up _exactly_ the same as before? Or, isn't likely that taking 10,000 away from a poor man will hurt more than taking 10,000 away from a rich man?
So, intuitively, wouldn't giving every person in the US 10,000 USD help the poor more than the rich? Where's the evidence to suggest all of that money would immediately be swallowed up by cost inflation?
Of course, the effect in reality will be a little more complex, and hard to measure, but I'd argue that intuition suggests UBI, by nature, _has_ to help fight inequality, just like free education, free healthcare, nationalized insurance, and any other progressive services that give equal benefits to all citizens. The question isn't if we should try it, but how much should we give.