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by anigbrowl 3062 days ago
Last time I heard a lot of people saying "the fundamentals of our economy are still strong" was fall 2008. They are not bad, but you need to recall that the nominal full employment comes with far less financial security than in previous cycles as much of it is in part-time jobs, the gig economy etc., and demand is thus considerably more elastic than in an economy dominated by full-time jobs.
1 comments

Its different than 98. We had a huge housing bubble. We had people getting no income loans. It doesn't seem the same in this case. The biggest risk is going to be the 1 trillion dollar deficit which is resulting in rising yields which makes stocks less appealing. However if you have a lot of inflation you need to put your money in some assets since the value of the dollar is going to be lower.
Good points all, though I'm wary of debt merely having shifted into things like student loans and subprime auto loans (which have a worryingly high default rate). It's not the same by any means, but I feel the combination of an overdue correction and political uncertainty could prove a toxic one.