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by cdetrio 3059 days ago
The article links to tetherreport.com

> We vary N from 1 to 24 hours and examine the p-values. [.....] there are a number of periods where the p-values are significantly below 0.05 and we reject the null hypothesis for those periods.

Is it p-hacking to vary N and find low p-values? If its not p-hacking, but a valid analysis with predictive power, then wouldn't it make a good trading strategy to watch the tether wallet and buy btc whenever new issuance happens?

1 comments

just look at the weekly chart and you’ll see a peak pattern. another pattern can be seen in the daily chart, flat periods that don’t exist on stocks like Nike or apple