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by zhjansbnas 3076 days ago
>When the stock market tops out, people will take their money out and buy real estate causing another rise.

If I understand correctly, you are saying that market sentiment that the stock market has reached its peak will result is real estate prices increasing. That’s a very optimistic take. When market sentiment thinks the peak has been reached, people start selling and you get a crash. Everyone can’t sell at the top.

I don’t think most people buy homes based on a guess of the stock market cycle. I think a more realistic model is: people sell stock and buy a house when it makes sense for their life and they can qualify. They take money out of the stock market (often a 401k) for the down payment and use it to meet reserve requirements. If the market crashes, people won’t be able to afford as much house and prices will drop.

If the stock market keeps going up, that will continue to be one of the factors supporting home prices.