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by cmdkeen
3076 days ago
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Even if we buy into that (and I fully agree with ddebernardy) you're assuming that those 42 people's accrual of wealthy will continue to stimulate the German electrical and machinery based sectors. I'd cast doubt on that, they probably already have Miele appliances in every one of their homes, all the BMWs and Mercedes they need for when the supercar is inconvenient. Unless they are in the market for a submarine there isn't really much more they can do to drive demand. It is likely the middle classes, and the newly rich middle classes abroad who are driving German exports. What matters far more is that the unions are essentially asking for a temporary 20% pay increase (plus a 6% permanent one) for two years every so often. Making the, not unreasonable, assumption that pay is a major component of manufacturing costs that would suggest that if the world economy falters (consider Brexit, Trump, southern Eurozone issues, a war on the Korean Peninsula, Iranian protests) German manufacturers might suddenly find themselves very uncompetitive. |
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