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by ProblemFactory
3078 days ago
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> calculates that the return interval for a two-year drought of this severity is 1150 years (!) This is however calculated based on historical weather data from 1920s onwards. With climate change ongoing and increasing, we can't rely on historical weather patterns staying accurate for future predictions. Old every 100 or 1000-year droughts can become every 10-year droughts. |
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