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by davidp 3083 days ago
I know this isn't a comforting thought, but: Missiles from the most likely source (North Korea) are not thought to have very good accuracy. They may be as likely to hit Kauai or the big island (or the ocean nearby) as Honolulu.

I hope this event wasn't too stressful for you and your family.

2 comments

They would probably send multiple warheads to increase the odds...
That's trickier than you'd think. You either have to send the warheads one well after the other, or you have to set them up so they detonate at precisely the same time, so as to avoid the first warhead to detonate destroying all the others. (This is why, at one time, missile silos were placed relatively close together. The enemy could presumably get one of them in a preemptive strike, but not all of them.)

At Korea's level of technology, for example, you'd probably just pick a secondary target in some other place entirely.

Funny - my gf had the same idea. We basically decided it’s most likely a mistake, so were not particularly worried.