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by SamAtt
5778 days ago
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This article basically uses the graph as a jumping off point to make the same old 'apps will take over the world' argument we've been hearing since the iPhone opened its SDK (it seems like people have completely forgotten the evolution of the Desktop PC and are intent on reliving those same mistakes with the smartphone) The problem I see with the graph is it's based on percentage of total traffic but it doesn't take into account a huge increase in bandwidth and internet users. Put it in perspective and you realize the web's "peak" according to this graph was when most people were using 56k modems (2000 which was about a year after V.90 modems started hitting the street). There's also an efficiency factor. Ajax type technologies have dramatically shrunk the size of the data chunks being passed back and forth. Back in 2000 most were still resending the whole page on every refresh. |
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I think this is precisely the point: traditional, browser-based Web (text-based, asymmetrical...) is designed to work perfectly with low-bandwidth connections. With the advent of broadband, it becomes obsolete and is to be superseded by modern technologies which better utilize this type of connections.
Of course, Web is not dead by any means; but Wired is in the business of selling tech-related sensations.