Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by anamax 5797 days ago
> My point was, you can ask questions like: Which was the peek year for crime? Why did rape not follow that trend?

"What was the peak year for crime" assumes a definition of crime, a way to aggregate rape, murder, etc. While we can agree on one, that agreement isn't binding on others. That's why I didn't claim that there was a peak crime year.

That said, averaging the 60s doesn't make sense as there was too much change.

Demographics alone tell us that different kinds of crime will peak a different times.

> By second digit I was talking about % change,

Since I was talking about to 5.1 to 5.4, the 98/99 comparison isn't especially relevant.

> A heatwave can significantly change a city's crime rate, but on it's own there is no meaningful long term effect.

You're assuming that weather doesn't have trends or long term effects. I'd argue that the dust bowl did. Urban heat-islands cause persistent heatwaves. (Yes, that's artificial climate, but ....)