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by blahblahblah
5788 days ago
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Choosing an arbitrary cutoff of 6 years and then assuming that everyone who didn't complete their degree within 6 years is a college dropout is not a particularly valid way to measure dropout rates. I completed my degree after the 6-year mark and I'm certainly not the only one to do so. These statistics erroneously include people like me in the dropout category. A more accurate method of measurement would be to track each cohort of students from entrance through graduation and chart a histogram of the elapsed time from initial enrollment to graduation. Once you've collected these histograms for several cohorts, you're then in a position to construct a model of the statistical distribution. Then you can make accurate estimates of the true dropout rate by fitting the known graduation data for a given cohort to the model to estimate how many of the students are in the tail of the distribution that will eventually graduate. |
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That's not valid.
If you found data that said, for example, 30% of college graduates took longer than 6 years to earn their undergraduate degrees, then I would agree with you.
If it's less than 10%, then the using 6 years as a cutoff would be a very good rule of thumb estimate.
Maybe the reason why the 6 year cutoff is so often used is because someone already crunched the numbers and found it was good enough?