[dsacco]

> What's particularly cool / safe (and interesting if you're a finance nut) about futures vs. actual trading of Bitcoins is that there is zero crypto involved. Everything is cash settled in dollars.

I certainly find this interesting, but I don't think it's a good vote of confidence for Bitcoin just yet, even if it's structurally safer for the exchange. For the most part futures are not cash-settled, or only cash-settled when it is very inconvenient for the buyer or exchange to settle them physically. If you buy futures, you are usually trying to gain speculative exposure to something that is otherwise very difficult to hold (e.g. oil futures vs oil barrels).

If there is no structural obstacle to settling futures physically, that implies there is another reason the market or the exchange doesn't particularly want to. This can mean various things; in the case of Bitcoin futures specifically, I interpret this to mean that the exchange would rather not handle Bitcoin directly, because historically holding a large amount of Bitcoin at once invites hackers to try and steal them.

That's pretty savvy and does seem good for overall safety, but from the perspective of financial stability, I think it's bad for Bitcoin's overall market confidence long term. My concern is that since Bitcoin is convenient to purchase and trade directly through existing exchanges, people who are long on Bitcoin should just buy Bitcoin directly, instead of Bitcoin futures.