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by bnegreve 3130 days ago
> Probabilistically unlikely for us to be the only ones, but just a thought.

How do you even measure that? If the number of coincidences required for life to emerge is large enough, the probability of observing life on a planet could very well be far bellow 1 over the number of planets in the universe.

That would make us probably alone :(

3 comments

One point of evidence to the contrary is that life appeared on Earth nearly as soon as it could. So it seems that given the correct conditions on a planet abiogenis always occurs.
>How do you even measure that?

Probably like this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation

The probability I was referring to is fl " in Drake's equation ("the fraction of planets that could support life that actually develop life at some point"), and Drake isn't really helping us here.

Quoting wikipedia:

The last four parameters, fl, fi, fc, and L, are not known and are very difficult to estimate, with values ranging over many orders of magnitude

So far we know its true of the solar system, at least.

Which means there's no really good reason we can't move our factories to space and turn Earth into a Life Haven.