> They said the same about Japan. Meet the new contender, same as the old contender.
Japan has a smaller population than the US. Even with early automaton providing a huge multiplier effect to efficiency, they weren't likely to catch up.
Combine that with social pressure against immigration. The US benefited a lot from brain draining other countries, Japan never did. The odds of a country being the source of innovation are higher if all the world's geniuses keep moving to that country.
Next up, will China be willing to (keep) hiring away American professors? If China can clean up its air quality, continue to improve standards of living, and open itself up to immigration, it will be on track to best the US.
China only needs to pull their population out of poverty and build a middle class to be the biggest economy.
Shear numbers means that if they stay away from self-destructive policies, civil war, and climate change doesn't squash their resources they'll be the biggest economy.
Not per capita, but in total yes, and wouldn't it be unfair if they didn't... Consider how many people would live in poverty, if they don't grow.
Japan has a smaller population than the US. Even with early automaton providing a huge multiplier effect to efficiency, they weren't likely to catch up.
Combine that with social pressure against immigration. The US benefited a lot from brain draining other countries, Japan never did. The odds of a country being the source of innovation are higher if all the world's geniuses keep moving to that country.
Next up, will China be willing to (keep) hiring away American professors? If China can clean up its air quality, continue to improve standards of living, and open itself up to immigration, it will be on track to best the US.