[nkurz]

Zed, you might reconsider your social strategy. Your article lays out a brilliant theoretical approach, but it's hard figure out how to apply it without more real-world data. Pragmatically, it seems like your goal should be to encourage others who are in a position to gather this data to do so, and to share it with you.

It looks like Jacques looks has a pretty good start at making these measurements: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1573145. If the numbers he provides aren't helpful, or aren't complete, you might try encouraging him to fix them. Calling him a "FUD slinging troll" seems more likely to cause him to tune out and ignore you, to the detriment of us all.

Realize that you've been thinking about this problem for a while now, while others have just started their thought process. Your goal is to get them up to speed so they can move your argument further, but this won't be instantaneous. Treating them as potential allies during this formative stage might pay off. If you can hold off with the insults for a couple hours or even days, you might get better results than if you shout them down immediately. :)