[3pt14159]

The difference is when you write out your reasons and you find out 3 years later that you were right.

It can be gambling, but that's like saying dating is gambling because there is an element of chance involved with whether or not you get physical with someone.

No. It's not. There are people that are good at romance. There are people good at understanding and predicting technology. This whole mantra of "it's just gambling!" is by a bunch of people that didn't have an approach rooted in discipline and science.