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by kgwgk 3141 days ago
Not a good example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Chanos#Enron_collapse
2 comments

Also not a good example. Individual fund managers, financiers, etc. often make individual correct (or lucky, sometimes) decisions. It's their ability to do that continuously for decades that's very much in doubt.
I think there where enough signs of enron being doddgy
Given that individuals who predicted it are notable enough to have a Wikipedia entry, I'd say that's hindsight talking.
That just moves the problem away from stock-picking to manager-picking. How do you pick a "good" manager as a retail investor? A winning track record could just be the result of survivorship bias.