[arkitectual]

But #2 historically does not give better returns. Since the information is already public it has already been included in the price of the stock. The vast majority of investors are not smarter than Wall Street.

As someone who has done some gambling in the stock market using this kind of thinking it has not been a good strategy compared to just buying and holding index funds. Sometimes I get lucky and sometimes I get unlucky buying individual stocks but my most best returns have been buying broad index funds and holding them.

[inthewoods]

Exactly.