[adventured]

Forecasts are being pushed in the mainstream media that tout that 50% of all existing US jobs will be wiped out in the next 10 to 15 years. It has reached manic levels.

35-50 years, probably still wildly over the top. 10-15? Zero chance. If you had the perfect solution in a lab that could, for example, replace truck drivers today, you couldn't even get that fully implemented & distributed such that it cleared out 50% of all trucking jobs in 10-15 years. The entire economy? It'd be laughable if there weren't so much fear mongering involved in pushing these bogus forecasts.

It's another example of people over-estimating change in the near-term. In 1999, ecommerce was going to immediately threaten all physical retail with extinction. If you didn't get on that hype train, you were toast. 23 years post founding, with year after year of incredible growth, Amazon is still just 1/4 the size of Walmart. As it turns out, it more often takes a long time to change the world.