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by nnfy 3177 days ago
Given the efficiency of information exchange over the internet regarding btc prices on numerous exchanges, I'd venture to guess that these arbitrages only exist because of market barriers that average investors cannot efficiently surmount.

Example: a few years ago there was a difference of a few hundred dollars between U.S. and Chinese exchanges. But you couldn't really trade on the Chinese exchange unless you were or knew someone who was a Chinese citizen.

I haven't researched it, but my impression is that arbitrage is only indicative of market inneficiency. And a corrolary is that by the time you get into a position to take advantage of significant arbitrage, someone will likely have beaten you to it.

In other words, efficiency is antithetical to arbitrage. I welcome alternative perspectives.

1 comments

A hundred-dollar bill is lying on the ground. An economist walks past it. A friend asks: "Didn't you see the money there?" The economist replies: "I thought I saw something, but I must've imagined it. If there had been $100 on the ground, someone would've picked it up."

There were public order books years ago and there were still arb opportunities because the field was niche and people just hadn't written the software yet. In terms of your comment, the technical barrier was what "average investors cannot efficiently surmount." At this point the high-volume pairs are too crowded but I suspect that there are still opportunities to make money where technical complexity is still high (e.g. smart contracts).