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by maxniederhofer 3178 days ago
Saving you a click: with 95% confidence, humans are predicted to go extinct between 5,100 and 7.8 million years from now.

The prediction seems neither very robust (normal distribution?), nor very useful.

3 comments

If only had scrolled down, I’d have two minutes of my life back!

I’m honestly surprised that this was published. This article is content free.

Wow. That's truly pinpointing it! "Between 5k and 8m years from now." If you're willing to accept "between 100 and 10b years from now", it's not-quantitatively-but-qualitatively equivalent to any living human but even better odds, I'd put them at 99.9%.
If he's right, we won't be around to know.

If he's wrong, and we're still around, we're not going to care.

Might be the ultimate "prediction" ever.