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by r_sreeram
3191 days ago
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> failure is accounted for in their portfolio math. But you might! Exactly. Assuming the common claim of "90% of startups fail" (i.e., assuming each startup is IID with 90% chance to fail), an investor that invests in 7 or more startups has a more than 50% chance of seeing at least one succeed (1 - 0.9^7 > 50%), whereas as an employee of one of those startups, you still have a 90% chance of failure. |
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