[tomp]

That's about 50%, which is the commonly quoted figure. However, IIRC that figure is skewed significantly by second (and further) marriages (i.e. by people who "like" getting divorced). The figures for first marriage are somewhat lower.

[moomin]

The interesting thing is that you can't actually divide one number by the other, because you don't know when the marriages began. What you actually need is the data "how many marriages in 1980/1981 &c end in divorce"? The information that a bunch of retired baby boomers are divorcing has little to no relevance to 30-somethings getting married right now.

In particular, since fewer people are getting married than used to (the whole point of the article), this is overstating the divorce rate.

[dajohnson89]

Does that really mitigate the point of divorce rate being high?