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by zweben 5815 days ago
I sort of thing that if the keyboard was going to disappear completely any time soon (~10 years), it would've disappeared already. We have a lot of different technologies for text input these days, but I don't feel like any of them would be better than a keyboard for working at a desk, even if they worked perfectly.

-Touchscreens can eliminate the need for typing to interact with a computer, but people will always want to communicate with each other in writing. On a touchscreen only device, this means virtual keyboards. Those are a convenient tradeoff for portable devices, but they're not ideal, and when you have space for as much screen as you need and a keyboard, I can't think of a good reason to get rid of physical keys.

-100% accurate voice recognition would be nice for some things, but I think I'd still be too slow, tiring, disruptive, or not private enough for most uses.

-Silent speech recognition (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silent_speech_interface) is a really interesting option, I think. A device good enough at measuring tiny 'subvocal' muscle movements could seem very similar to mind reading, while also being less intimidating and possibly less invasive. NASA did some interesting work on this (http://www.nasa.gov/home/hqnews/2004/mar/HQ_04093_subvocal_s...).

-I think true mind reading devices also have potential in the long term, but I'd be highly surprised if we had anything practical in less than a decade.