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by cfqycwz 3207 days ago
In the weeks leading up to the election, they were putting Trump's odds at 1/4, and pretty roundly mocking/cautioning against others who were putting him at 1%. On mobile, so I can't check by hovering, but I don't think they ever put his chances below 1/10: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
1 comments

> they were putting Trump's odds at 1/4, and pretty roundly mocking/cautioning against others who were putting him at 1%.

Yeah, of all the groups making predictions they gave Trump the highest odds of winning [0].

[0] https://www.buzzfeed.com/jsvine/2016-election-forecast-grade...