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by eli_gottlieb
3216 days ago
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Hypothetical scenarios are only valuable insofar as they're close to reality. In real life, if I'm taking home $400k/year in salary it's because I'm creating $1 million/year in revenue. Also in real life, a start-up business that will be worth $50 million usually has more like a 1% chance of success, so it's expected value is actually just about 25% more than the proposed salaried job -- less than my value-per-year at my job, actually. Finally, in real life, most people don't want to maximize expected income -- its buying power in terms of personal needs decreases logarithmically. Tax law really has little effect once we use a less imaginative scenario. |
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You mention people are risk averse (logarithmic utility of money). I posit that that is only true for non-altruists. An altruist prefers to save 10000 lives nearly exactly 10 times as much as they prefer to save 1000 lives. Given a secure enough financial base off of which the logarithmic personal rewards factor is a non-issue, this is the primary driver for plenty of people that I personally know.