[rurban]

And now you see how ridiculous this "Ike Dike" idea was. It would have protected nothing. The problem was and is is still the massive rain falls, not the incoming storm surge.

Energy industry could easily build such a "Ike Dike" but why should the city of Houston do such a thing? Bush lobbied strongly for it on behalf of the energy guys, but didn't get it. Now you see why.

[manyoso]

And with climate change it will continue to be hard to predict these events other than to say that if you are near the coast... good luck.

[FTA]

I have not seen any evidence in journals that climate change will inherently reduce predictability of short or medium range weather forecasts. I believe you're implying that without climate change we could somehow be predicting hurricanes years ahead of time in the current year, which is really not the case.

[bonesss]

> ... climate change will [not] inherently reduce predictability of short or medium range weather forecasts

In the broad sense that's totally correct: weather will still be weather, and the sensor data & computing resources we have to throw at prediction are only getting better.

One aspect of this specific conversation relating to climate change, though, would be the relative abruptness of multiple weather systems combining into much larger storms. Sandy, for example, became a Frankenstorm in part due to multiple slightly abnormal factors coming together. That trend should erode predictability across multiple axes.

On the order of centuries, compared with the otherwise ability to predict weather: I would expect to see a marginal decline in weather predictability as more events, and more extreme events, are added to the atmospheric system.