[contingencies]

Information: Decentralized telecommunications. Removal of centralized mobile carriers in favor of alternate mesh and private (micropayments-based?) local wireless access rental popularization. The major technical barrier at present is the user experience around default mesh support on phones (startup anyone?)

Social: Non-government reputation systems worth their salt finally enter commerce and sociopolitics to automate supply chain management, RFQ processes, SLAs, incident handling, direct political representation, etc. A revolution in education, international sociopolitical movements bypassing national political systems to address global challenges, increased respect for the environment.

Physical: Reformation of global logistics with distributed manufacturing and laws and the requirement for commercial product part designs to be published with every sale for independent consumer repairs.

Food: At least one city feeds itself largely from automated rooftop farming.