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by michaelchisari 3237 days ago
> The Republicans won all 6 special elections.

By slim margins in what should have been extremely safe districts.

Then they lost the next 2, one of which by way a 30 point swing.

The swing is not something you can hand-wave away. It's one of the best metrics we have as a predictor for 2018.

> The republicans spent like $3 Million dollars.

Estimates on how much was spent on the election range from $40-$60 million.

$23 million is the amount of fundraising that was done by Ossoff's campaign, independent of the DCCC or traditional DNC PACs, which means none of it came from their "warchest". The DCCC provided an additional $5 million of TV ad spends in Ossoff's favor.

On the Republican side, they spent way more than $3 million. The NRCC spent about $6.7 million on TV ad spends. Paul Ryan's SuperPAC spent about $5 million on airtime and $2 million on additional costs. Two other conservative PACs raised an additional $1 million.

https://www.issueone.org/money-behind-expensive-u-s-house-ra...

The breakdown is very complicated, because money can come in from dozens of different types of sources, and the numbers aren't usually finalized until long after the election ends.

The $23 million figure, however, was mostly crowd-sourced in small donations. So to be very clear, you can say that came from citizens who identify as Democrats and be generally right, but to say it came from Democrats as an organization or a political entity, that is not correct.

1 comments

Democrats spent a lot more money on these races and were still not able to win. This is clearly a problem for them. The swing in margins can be explained by the fact that the President's party mostly always loses some points
> the President's party mostly always loses some points

Not in the double digits, they don't. And not in special elections shortly into the first year of the Presidency, especially.