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by nahollander
3251 days ago
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I think the problems you're alluding to are problems with the blockchain ecosystem in general, and I don't purport to have a silver bullet to solve the inherent issues with immutable software deployments, particularly in financial applications. But, after all, a dark horse 20 year old college dropout spearheaded the development of Ethereum, and the technology now secures nearly 20B worth of value. Maybe it's impossible to truly build processes for secure software deployment auditing in this space -- in which case, it's unlikely blockchain tech will succeed as a technology in general -- but I hold an optimistic view that, as formal verification techniques for smart contracts get fleshed out and easier to use, best practices will emerge and it will become easier to build secure contracts on blockchains. Hopefully, until that point in time, Dharma won't get caught on the wrong side of history. Forgive my youth and naïveté :) |
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I always ask myself what the total monetary value stored in ETH actually is, as the 20B $ is the market capitalization (as far as I understand), which in my opinion is NOT the value. Drawing on my Economics classes (from a long time ago), my thinking goes like this:
Let's assume I create 100 million items of a new cryptocurrency. At first, my coins have no value whatsoever. Now, you offer to buy 1 cryptocoin for 200 $ from me. This would instantly give my currency a market capitalization of 200 $ * 100 MN = 20 BN $! But is my currency now worth 20 BN $? I would say no, as there is probably no way for me to sell the remaining 99.999.999 coins for the same price for which I sold the first coin. And even after distributing a large amount of coins (say 50 % of the total), I would probably not be able to sell my remaining coins for their market value, as my offer volume would rapidly drive down the price of the coins by creating an oversupply (depending on the transaction volume of the currency of course).
Following this logic I always thought that speaking of 20 BN $ of value stored in ETH as misleading, as the real monetary value of the currency (as determined by how much value you could actually extract when liquidating it entirely) is probably much less than that. And given that most people invest in ETH purely for speculation, I would even wager that a single seller who puts a large number of ETH on the market (as compared to the average daily volume) could cause a massive price drop, since there is no "fundamental" value in ETH (contrary to an asset-backed currency or a company stock).