[Touche]

Is that really best-case scenario? So you're saying that among the retired football players who do TV today, Terry Bradshaw, Howie Long, Michael Strahan, Cris Collinsworth, etc. 90% of these players have CTE and will have decades-long dementia? So for the older players we should start seeing that very soon, no?

[chasing]

I'm being a little tongue-in-cheek, of course.

The article implies a selection bias -- that the actual number of football players with CTE could be as low as 9%. It also notes cases where CTE effects really become "horrible" much later in life, for men who are older than the guys you list.

Guys who self-select to be television personalities also might have a lower incidence of CTE. There's also a chance that some odd behavior on TV will be interpreted as "quirky" or "goofy" and not "experiencing brain damage."

At any rate... Of course the answer is: No, not everyone with CTE dies "horribly." But it's seeming increasingly likely that CTE can have major unexpected consequences on the later lives of football players. And the worst case scenario of CTE (Junior Seau, Jovan Belcher) is exceptionally horrible and exceptionally tragic.

[epicide]

> as low as 9%

Which is still disgustingly high.

[Touche]

Thanks for the reply. This is what I'm trying to understand myself. I didn't see the 9% number in the article. I did see the mention about selection bias. So I wonder what the true numbers are here. If it's 9% then that explains well enough why so many ex-players don't show strong signs of CTE (by strong I mean long-term memory loss or worse).

[nerfhammer]

The 9% is assuming that 100% of unknown cases are in fact negative.

This study showed that 110 of 111 players tested had CTE. But many of their families consented because they suspected CTE already, so it's not a random sample and therefore you can't generalize that to the rest of the population. 110 is 9% of the population of 1300 deceased players for the given time period. CTE is normally extremely rare.

[tedunangst]

Why is the total population deceased players and not all players?

[nerfhammer]

The only test for it requires dissection of the brain

[steanne]

because you can't test the living ones

[chvrn]

How do you know we aren't seeing the slow onset of dementia for some of these guys? Isn't the whole schtick with Bradshaw that he's a "little off in the head"?

I don't think that it's fair to look at these former players that go into broadcasting and "diagnose" them in anyway. We don't see inside the private lives of these guys and we don't know what struggles they may or may not live with everyday.

[Touche]

I think you are misinterpreting my posts. I'm just trying to make sense of all of this, myself. This report is eye opening to me and I just don't understand it. I understand and accept that the CTE rate for football players is quite high.

What I don't understand is what that means exactly. Are there degrees of CTE? Might some of these players have CTE but hardly ever show much of a symptom in their lives? Or is everyone, as the people who I was responding to suggested, doomed to some sort of dementia where they forget who they are their families are? And if that's the case, shouldn't we see this more often among ex-players who are still in the public? Or are the former players who take these jobs all in the 10% that don't get CTE? Just trying to make sense of the conflicting data here.