[Aron]

Looks like you might be using EBITDA wrong up there ('operating profit'). just fyi. This approach is essential but most casual investors seem to overlook it. I find it also useful to contemplate worst case and best case scenarios and orthogonal scenarios and kind of work it all together in the intuition blender. For instance, by the time your 2020 rolls around I think it will be 100% obvious that ICEs are the walking dead (who is gonna buy a new one hoping to sell it ever when 5 years down the road there's far fewer buyers?), and that autonomous ride sharing is gonna become huge, and that Tesla may not produce a lot of profit in manufacture but in software\revenue sharing, and that they may never hit high manufacture numbers at all (or may literally detach that part).