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by mindviews
3272 days ago
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That's not really the right reasoning to use here. The number of cell divisions isn't 50 vs. 54, it's more like 2^50 vs. 2^54. At some point the animal will exit the growth phase and reach a stable cell count and an elephant that reaches adulthood will just simply have more cells than a mouse. A 5,000kg elephant has a lot more cells that could develop cancer than a 0.02kg field mouse. And if that elephant lives 60 years instead of 1.5 for the mouse (let's just say for the sake of argument that cells divide once per year for replacement), that could be something like a 10,000,000 fold difference in the number of "cell-years" and cell divisions (at once per year) for something to go wrong and cause one of those cells to become cancerous. "Peto noted that, in general, there is little relationship between cancer rates and the body size or age of animals. That is surprising: the cells of large-bodied or older animals should have divided many more times than those of smaller or younger ones, so should possess more random mutations predisposing them to cancer. Peto speculated that there might be an intrinsic biological mechanism that protects cells from cancer as they age and expand." So, yeah, it seems like something important has to be going on. If a mouse can die of cancer at 1 year old, how can any elephants survive to 60? |
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Cancer is not a single mutation. So, generally the first cancer cell is a descendent of the first cell that had a dangerous mutation. Further, some cells are being constantly produced over a lifetime (skin, GI tract etc), so you can mostly ignore mussel fiber or fact cells when calculating cancer risks.
In that context there are divisions related to growth and divisions related to homeostasis. Tacking on 4 extra related to growth is relatively less important vs lifespan and other factors especially when you look at human cancer risks pre 44.