[geori]

I used to not pick tech stocks because of the diversification argument. However, I stopped that and now invest a good bit. Why? People in tech are going to be better at predicting the future than the equity research analysts at investment banks. Have confidence in yourself and make some picks.

[dsacco]

I'd actually suggest that the typical software engineer and typical equity analyst are equally bad at forecasting the market. I wouldn't expect either of them to be more than one standard deviation from the broader population (and probably not even that much).