Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by roenxi 3299 days ago
The outcomes can be easily enumerated. If Sleeping Beauty always answers "Heads" she will be right 33% of the times she is asked. This is pretty close to the definition of a 33% chance.

She hasn't been given new information by waking up, she also knows as she goes into the experiment - "most of the outcomes where I am being interviewed involve the coin toss coming up tails".