Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by dsp1234 3306 days ago
I think you're normalizing where you shouldn't. The commenter above said, "just coming right out an asking "Obamacare: repeal or keep?" with no preface.".

If that was the question asked, and we take the poll numbers as a proxy, then you end up with:

Obamacare:

29% - keep (very positive + somewhat positive)

46% - repeal (somewhat negative + very negative)

25% - unsure (neutral + don't know enough)

ACA:

22% - keep (very positive + somewhat positive)

37% - repeal (somewhat negative + very negative)

41% - unsure (neutral + don't know enough)

So in other words, even though the original poster was trying to say "cut the crap and just ask people", the difference by just changing Obamacare to ACA is a 7% swing in keep, and a 9% swing in repeal.

It's not like we normalize votes in the real world. We don't say "more people didn't know what that thing was, so we'll just fudge the numbers a bit". If people don't vote, then people don't vote. That's exactly why phrasing matters, and exactly why something like advice "asking Obamacare: repeal or keep" is so worrying.

1 comments

I think what's misleading here is some people want to repeal the ACA for single-payer and some want to repeal it for a less regulated healthcare market. So having a high repeal value doesn't really tell you what people want instead and likely shouldn't be taken as support for repeal and replace with effectively nothing.